In this post I will share my personal opinion of the real intrinsic worth of some of the hottest technology stocks of the last 5 to 10 years.
Intrinsic value, as far as I am concerned:
Apple: 30 % lower than the current market capitalisation
Facebook: 25 % lower than the current market capitalisation
Alphabet, Google owner: 27 % lower than the current market capitalisation
Microsoft: 30 % lower than the current market capitalisation
Amazon: 30 % lower than the current market capitalisation
AMD: 50 % lower than the current market capitalisation
Twitter: 17 % lower than the current market capitalisation
Pinterest: 20 % lower than the current market capitalisation
Robinhood Markets: 20 % lower than the current market capitalisation
Palantir: 15 % lower than the current market capitalisation
Arista Networks: 20 % lower than the current market capitalisation
These are intrinsic values for the short-term, 3 to 5 years out as I am of the opinion the Nasdaq Composite will fall 25 % to 35 % more from current levels on both the Federal Reserve raising rates and the current crisis, which will most likely cause a new recession and stagflation.
In 7 to 10 years the market capitalisation of firms like Palantir and Arista Networks and Robinhood Markets could rise several times from the low points their market capitalisations will touch in the short-term.
Because, I believe they have a durable competitive advantage, as arguably the greatest investor of all time Warren Buffett likes to describe his investment edge.
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