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Disclaimer:
Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is".
The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights.
Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks.
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks!
The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com
Respectfully yours,
Petar Posledovich
Friday, July 24, 2015
Stocks, Bonds, FX, Commodities and Economic Forecasts!
Dear Reader,
I am of the opinion that US major stock indices will post 5-8% gains in 2015. Major European stock indices(DAX, FTSE, CAC) will post 10-15% gains in 2015.
German 10 year government bonds yield to remain below 1.5% in 2015. US 10 year treasury yields to touch 2.7% in 2015. I expect the Federal Reserve to hike the Federal Funds Rate in September AND December by 0.25%.
Oil looks like a good value at 50 USD. I forecast many times before that gold will fall to 800 USD in 2-3 years, so I am not suprised by the fall of the price of gold in the recent days.
Stocks: I believe Microsoft(MSFT), GOPRO(GPRO), LinkedIN(LNKD) and FitBit(FIT) are undervalued at these levels.
I believe the US economy will grow less than 2.5% in 2015 and the eurozone will grow by less than 1.6% in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Friday, July 17, 2015
Stocks, Bonds, Currencies and Commodities!
Dear Reader,
I still expect US 10 year treasuries yield to reach 2.7% in 2015 and the Federal reserve to hike the Federal funds rate both in September AND December 2015 by 0.25%.
I still think Germany 10 year government bonds yield will remain below 1.5% in 2015. Spanish, Italian and other eurozone 'periphery' bonds to sell off. 10 year Italian and Spanish government bonds yield to hit 3.0% in 2015.
I still think US stocks should rise 5-8% in 2015 measured by the main indices.
I think FitBit(FIT), GoPro(GPRO) and Microsoft(MSFT) have a lot of upside potential and should outperform the main indices.
In the longer run Google(GOOGL) should do fine as well.
I stick with my forecast that gold will fall to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
EUR/USD should reach 0.90 in 2015. USD/JPY should revert to 110 in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
I still expect US 10 year treasuries yield to reach 2.7% in 2015 and the Federal reserve to hike the Federal funds rate both in September AND December 2015 by 0.25%.
I still think Germany 10 year government bonds yield will remain below 1.5% in 2015. Spanish, Italian and other eurozone 'periphery' bonds to sell off. 10 year Italian and Spanish government bonds yield to hit 3.0% in 2015.
I still think US stocks should rise 5-8% in 2015 measured by the main indices.
I think FitBit(FIT), GoPro(GPRO) and Microsoft(MSFT) have a lot of upside potential and should outperform the main indices.
In the longer run Google(GOOGL) should do fine as well.
I stick with my forecast that gold will fall to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
EUR/USD should reach 0.90 in 2015. USD/JPY should revert to 110 in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Friday, July 10, 2015
Bonds, Stocks, Foreign Exchange and Commodities!
Dear Reader,
I still forecast US stock indices will grow 5-8% in 2015.
10 year German government bonds yields should remain below 1.5% in 2015. I expect the yields on Spanish and Italian ten year government bonds to reach 3.00% in 2015.
I forecast that the 10 year US treasury yield will touch 2.70% in 2015.
EUR/USD to target 0.90 in 2015. Gold to sell off to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
Oil to remain between 50 and 70 USD in 2015. I am undecided on a direction for oil.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
I still forecast US stock indices will grow 5-8% in 2015.
10 year German government bonds yields should remain below 1.5% in 2015. I expect the yields on Spanish and Italian ten year government bonds to reach 3.00% in 2015.
I forecast that the 10 year US treasury yield will touch 2.70% in 2015.
EUR/USD to target 0.90 in 2015. Gold to sell off to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
Oil to remain between 50 and 70 USD in 2015. I am undecided on a direction for oil.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Friday, July 3, 2015
Individual Stocks and Bonds!
Dear Reader,
I expect German 10 year government bonds yields to remain below 1.5% in 2015.
US 10 year treasuries to touch 2.7% in 2015 driven by the TWO Fed rate hikes I forecast in September and December.
The EUR/USD to reach 0.90 in 2015. Gold to fall to 800 USD in two-three years.
My forecast in a twitter post that Fitbit(FIT) is undervalued came true and the stock rallied strongly.
I forecast Microsoft(MSTF) will rally along with the introduction of Windows 10.
I forecast Spanish and Italian 10 year government bonds yields to reach 3.5% in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
I expect German 10 year government bonds yields to remain below 1.5% in 2015.
US 10 year treasuries to touch 2.7% in 2015 driven by the TWO Fed rate hikes I forecast in September and December.
The EUR/USD to reach 0.90 in 2015. Gold to fall to 800 USD in two-three years.
My forecast in a twitter post that Fitbit(FIT) is undervalued came true and the stock rallied strongly.
I forecast Microsoft(MSTF) will rally along with the introduction of Windows 10.
I forecast Spanish and Italian 10 year government bonds yields to reach 3.5% in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
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