Dear Reader,
The dust after the US presidential elections has settled. Donald Trump has won.
I personally think that international banks and brokerages will do well. The regulation pressure on the financial services industry will ease.
I believe the Federal Reserve will hike the Federal Funds Rate in December 2016 and December 2017. The US economy will not speed up markedly.
US technology stocks seem a good investment still. Many corners of the tech market are in a bubble, but in general the smartphone/mobile boom is still going. Artificial intelligence seems to be the next big thing, if done correctly. Personally, I do not believe robots will replace humans. I think robots will augment humans, help them do their jobs more efficiently, not replace them.
Nvidia seems a good bet on artificial intelligence. Facebook is slowing into a mature business. Weibo and Match Inc. seem to offer growth opportunities and are generally a good bet.
The European Central Bank will most certainly extend its Asset Purchase Program beyond March 2017. German 10 year government bonds yield should go again to zero in the next few months. The spread with Italy 10 year and Spain 10 year goverment bonds, however, should remain elevated.
Gold, according to me, is close to finding a bottom. Oil seems stuck between 40 and 60 USD in the near term.
EUR/USD should reach 0.90 in the first few months of 2017, bottom out and the euro should slowly start to aprreciate from then on.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
Stocks valuations, analysis. Unbiased. Insightful. Property of Wolfteam Ltd., www.wolfteamedge.com If you find the blog useful, LINK TO www.posledovich.blogspot.com Stocks, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, AI, analysis, insights. CLICK ADVERTISEMENTS, SHARE ON SOCIAL NETWORKS! Technology, Bitcoin, AI, company strategy, stocks analysis. Stocks, crypto involve high RISK! Nothing on this blog is meant or should be construed as investment recommendation to buy or sell securities or their derivatives!
Disclaimer:
Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is".
The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights.
Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks.
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks!
The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com
Respectfully yours,
Petar Posledovich
Tuesday, November 29, 2016
Stocks, Federal Reserve, ECB, Commodities, EUR/USD!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Wednesday, November 2, 2016
US Stocks, Eurozone and US Bonds, Gold and Oil!
Dear Reader,
The US election date is looming. US stocks are in danger of a correction of less than 10% fall from current highs. Few months away, however, stocks seem a good investment still. Money seems to be flowing in US stocks especially. They have become some sort of a safe heaven.
I do not see technology stocks suffering a large correction. Not before the smartphone boom is over, which actually is not that far off. In the long run, however, information technology is still a good investment.
I think the Federal reserve will hike the federal funds rate in December. The yield on the 10 year US treasury should go to 1.9%. Eurozone benchmark 10 year bunds should stay close to 0.00%. The ECB buying power is simply too great. The yields on Spanish and Italian 10 year bonds should fall closer to 1.00% again mainly because of ECB.
Oil seems stuck in a range. It should finish the year close to 50 USD. Gold is an interesting case. It rises in the run up to the US elections, but it should stop rising thereafter.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
The US election date is looming. US stocks are in danger of a correction of less than 10% fall from current highs. Few months away, however, stocks seem a good investment still. Money seems to be flowing in US stocks especially. They have become some sort of a safe heaven.
I do not see technology stocks suffering a large correction. Not before the smartphone boom is over, which actually is not that far off. In the long run, however, information technology is still a good investment.
I think the Federal reserve will hike the federal funds rate in December. The yield on the 10 year US treasury should go to 1.9%. Eurozone benchmark 10 year bunds should stay close to 0.00%. The ECB buying power is simply too great. The yields on Spanish and Italian 10 year bonds should fall closer to 1.00% again mainly because of ECB.
Oil seems stuck in a range. It should finish the year close to 50 USD. Gold is an interesting case. It rises in the run up to the US elections, but it should stop rising thereafter.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
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