Dear Reader,
I expect the correction in US stocks to continue some bit longer. I stick to my forecast that major US stock indices will post 5-8% gains in 2015, so I expect buying the current dip to be profitable.
For the major European stock markets(FTSE, DAX, CAC), however, the recovery will not be that strong. They should be mildly profitable for the year.
I expect 10 year German bunds yield to touch 1.00% in 2015. I forecast US 10 year treasuries yield will touch 2.70% in 2015. The Federal Reserve will hike rates in 2015.
Chinese stocks still seem overvalued. Other major emerging markets(Russia, Brazil, India), though, look close to a bottom.
I expect oil WTI to recover to 60 USD in 2015. Gold to fall to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
I expect EUR/USD to touch 0.90 in 2015, while USD/YEN to fall to 110 in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter,
LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and
do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any
securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
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Disclaimer:
Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is".
The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights.
Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks.
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks!
The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com
Respectfully yours,
Petar Posledovich
Friday, August 28, 2015
How long will the sell off in stocks continue?
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Friday, August 21, 2015
Buying the dip in stocks, selling the rally in bonds?
Dear Reader,
I still believe the main US stock market indices(DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq) will post 5-8% gains in 2015.
I believe now buying the dip is a good strategy. Social networks Facebook, LinkedIn and Twitter are undervalued. GoPro and FitBit offer large value, have high upside potential.
I still think US 10 year treasuries yield will touch 2.70% in 2015. I still believe EUR/USD will touch 0.90 in 2015. The 10 year German bunds yield will stay below 1.5% in 2015, but will touch 1.00% in 2015.
I now think the DAX, FTSE, CAC will post 10% in 2015, which is a revision of my 15% 2015 gain forecast made some time ago.
I believe USD/JPY will touch 110 in 2015.
I forecast gold will fall towards 800 USD in 2-3 years.
Oil WTI will rise towards 60USD.
OIL majors Exxon Mobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, BP, Shell, Total offer significant value.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of Interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies and commodities mentioned in the blogpost or posts on social networks.
I still believe the main US stock market indices(DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq) will post 5-8% gains in 2015.
I believe now buying the dip is a good strategy. Social networks Facebook, LinkedIn and Twitter are undervalued. GoPro and FitBit offer large value, have high upside potential.
I still think US 10 year treasuries yield will touch 2.70% in 2015. I still believe EUR/USD will touch 0.90 in 2015. The 10 year German bunds yield will stay below 1.5% in 2015, but will touch 1.00% in 2015.
I now think the DAX, FTSE, CAC will post 10% in 2015, which is a revision of my 15% 2015 gain forecast made some time ago.
I believe USD/JPY will touch 110 in 2015.
I forecast gold will fall towards 800 USD in 2-3 years.
Oil WTI will rise towards 60USD.
OIL majors Exxon Mobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, BP, Shell, Total offer significant value.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of Interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies and commodities mentioned in the blogpost or posts on social networks.
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Friday, August 14, 2015
Stocks, Bonds, Commodities and Foreign Exchange!
Dear Reader,
I still believe the main US stock market indices(DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq) will post 5-8% gains in 2015.
I believe Facebook, LinekdIn, Twitter and Google are undervalued. Oil majors like Exxon Mobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, BP, Royal Dutch Shell, Total offer good value. Apple is fully valued.
US bank majors Wells Fargo, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are undervalued.
I believe the yield on US 10 year treasuries will touch 2.7% in 2015. The Federal Reserve will hike the Federal Funds Rate by 0.25% in September AND December 2015.
I believe the German 10 year bunds(government bonds) yield will stay below 1.5% in 2015. The eurozone 'periphery' government bonds(Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Greece) will sell off towards year end. I expect the yield on 10 year government bonds of Italy and Spain to touch 3.0% in 2015.
I expect oil(WTI) to recover and touch 60 USD by the end of 2015.
I forecast gold will fall towards 800 USD in 2-3 years.
I forecast EUR/USD will head towards 0.90 in 2015. USD/JPY will touch 110 in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
I still believe the main US stock market indices(DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq) will post 5-8% gains in 2015.
I believe Facebook, LinekdIn, Twitter and Google are undervalued. Oil majors like Exxon Mobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, BP, Royal Dutch Shell, Total offer good value. Apple is fully valued.
US bank majors Wells Fargo, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are undervalued.
I believe the yield on US 10 year treasuries will touch 2.7% in 2015. The Federal Reserve will hike the Federal Funds Rate by 0.25% in September AND December 2015.
I believe the German 10 year bunds(government bonds) yield will stay below 1.5% in 2015. The eurozone 'periphery' government bonds(Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Greece) will sell off towards year end. I expect the yield on 10 year government bonds of Italy and Spain to touch 3.0% in 2015.
I expect oil(WTI) to recover and touch 60 USD by the end of 2015.
I forecast gold will fall towards 800 USD in 2-3 years.
I forecast EUR/USD will head towards 0.90 in 2015. USD/JPY will touch 110 in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Monday, August 10, 2015
Bonds, Stocks, Commodities, Foreign Exchange!
Dear Reader,
I still expect major US stock market indices to post 5-8% gains in 2015. US 10 year treasury yield should touch 2.7% in 2015. The Fed will hike in September AND December.
I forecast the German 10 year bund yield will stay below 1.5%. Gold should fall to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
Oil looks undervalued at the moment. I think it will get to 60 USD by year end.
Oil majors stocks Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Royal Dutch, BP look undervalued.
US bank majors JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs look undervalued.
I forecast EUR/USD will touch 0.90 in 2015, while USD/YEN could fall to 110.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
I still expect major US stock market indices to post 5-8% gains in 2015. US 10 year treasury yield should touch 2.7% in 2015. The Fed will hike in September AND December.
I forecast the German 10 year bund yield will stay below 1.5%. Gold should fall to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
Oil looks undervalued at the moment. I think it will get to 60 USD by year end.
Oil majors stocks Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Royal Dutch, BP look undervalued.
US bank majors JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs look undervalued.
I forecast EUR/USD will touch 0.90 in 2015, while USD/YEN could fall to 110.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Sunday, August 2, 2015
Stocks, Bonds, FX and Commodities!
Dear Reader,
I still expect US stock market indices to post gains of 5-8% in 2015.
US 10 year treasuries to touch 2.7% in 2015. I expect the Federal Reserve to hike rates in September AND December.
I forecast German 10 year bunds yield to stay below 1.5% in 2015. I expect Spanish, Italian, Portuguese and Irish government bonds to sell off. I expect Spanish and Italian 10 year government bonds yield to reach 3.0% in 2015.
Stocks: LinkedIn(LNKD), Facebook(FB), Twitter(TWTR), GoPro(GPRO) and FitBit(FIT) seem undervalued. Oil majors Exxon Mobil, Chevron and Conoco Phillips deliver good value at these levels. Major Eurozone banks seem undervalued.
I expect Oil(WTI) to recover to about 70 USD in 2015. I expect gold to fall to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
I expect EUR/USD to touch 0.90 in 2015 and USD/JPY to fall back to 110 in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
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