Dear Reader,
I still expect major US stock market indices to post 5-8% gains in 2015. US 10 year treasury yield should touch 2.7% in 2015. The Fed will hike in September AND December.
I forecast the German 10 year bund yield will stay below 1.5%. Gold should fall to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
Oil looks undervalued at the moment. I think it will get to 60 USD by year end.
Oil majors stocks Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Royal Dutch, BP look undervalued.
US bank majors JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs look undervalued.
I forecast EUR/USD will touch 0.90 in 2015, while USD/YEN could fall to 110.
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Disclaimer:
Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is".
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Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks.
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks!
The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com
Respectfully yours,
Petar Posledovich
Monday, August 10, 2015
Bonds, Stocks, Commodities, Foreign Exchange!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
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1 comment:
Hi,
I think central banks will wait and will act re actively, e.g. after deflation becomes a major issue.
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