Disclaimer:

Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is". The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights. Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks. Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks! The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com Respectfully yours, Petar Posledovich

Thursday, September 28, 2023

Accenture Valuation

 


Accenture Plc, the Irish-American professional services company, is slightly overvalued according to Wolfteam Ltd.

At revenue of 61.59 billion USD, growing at 21.89 % with net profit margin of 11.17 % for 2022 Accenture's intrinsic worth is 172 billion USD, compared with its current market capitalization of 208.85 billion USD.

Actually, the year on year revenue growth rate at 21.89 % exaggerates, since Accenture's quarterly year on year growth rate is 7 % on average for the last reported quarters.

Accenture's dividend yield of 1.43 % is OK, but not large enough to substantiate Accenture's current market worth.

All in all, Accenture Plc, the consultancy is overvalued according to Wolfteam Ltd.

Wednesday, September 27, 2023

Thermo Fisher Scientific Valuation

 


Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc is undervalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

At 44.92 billion USD in revenue, growing at 14.55 % and net profit margin of 15.47 % for the calendar 2022 year, Thermo Fisher Scientific's inrinsic value is 270 billion USD compared with Thermo Fisher Scientific's current market capitalization of 193.59 billion USD.

Thermo Fisher Scientific's revenue is growing very fast and Thermo Fisher Scientific exhibits high profitability measured by double digit net profit margins for the last 5 reported calendar years with the net profit margins for 2020 and 2021 at circa 20 %. According to Wolfteam Ltd., Thermo Fisher Scientific holds tremendous amount of unlocked value, which under suitable conditions could be brought to fruition.

Tuesday, September 26, 2023

AbbVie Valuation!

 

AbbVie Inc. the American pharmaceutical company is undervalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

AbbVie with 58.05 billion USD revenue, growing at 3.30 % and 20.39 % net profit margin for the calendar 2022 has an intrinsic worth of 220 billion USD, compared with AbbVie's current market capitalization of 272.96 billion USD.

The market seems to imply too high revenue growth and too high and stable profitability for AbbVie Inc.

AbbVie's dividend of 3.83 % is a very good advantage for AbbVie, though.

All in all, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s estimates of comparable and earnings and revenue projections, AbbVie is overvalued.

Monday, September 25, 2023

Lowe's Valuation

 


Lowe's Companies Inc, the American home improvement company is undervalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

At 97.06 billion USD revenue, growing at 0.84 % year on year, net profit margin of 6.63 % for the fiscal 2023 Lowe's Companies Inc is undervalued. Lowe's companies intrinsic worth is 180 billion USD on Lowe's large revenue base and good profitability for a retailer, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s corporate view.

This compares to Lowe's current market capitalization of 121.48 billion USD.

A 2.09 % annual dividend yield is an added benefit for Lowe's.


Sunday, September 24, 2023

Msci Inc Is Overalued


Msci Inc, the American finance company providing financial indices is overvalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

Msci's intrinsic worth is 34 billion USD compared with Msci's current market capitalization of 40.59 billion USD.

On 2.25 billion USD revenue growing at 10.03 % year on year, net profit margin of 38.72 % for the calendar 2022  market participants seem to be overestimating Msci's revenue growth prospects, mainly based on the most recent quarter's growth.


Friday, September 22, 2023

Nike Valuation

 


Nike Inc, the American athletic footwear and apparel corporation is undervalued according to Wolfteam Ltd.

At 51.22 billion USD revenue growing at 9.65 % and net profit margin of 9.90 % for the fiscal 2023, Nike's intrinsic worth is 170 billion USD, compared with Nike's current market capitalization of 140.13 billion USD, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s corporate view.

The stock market is underestimating Nike's revenue and profitability growth prospects, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s view.


Thursday, September 21, 2023

Cigna Valuation


Cigna Group, the multinational American healthcare and insurance company is undervalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

Cigna Group, based on revenue of 180.02 billion USD growing at 3.30%, net profit margin of 3.70 % and dividend of 1.71 % has intrinsic value of 110 billion USD, compared with Cigna Group's 85.04 billion USD market capitalization.

In short, Cigna Group is undervalued according to Wolfteam Ltd. based on its big revenue base and stock of investments, which usually at least partly drive insurance companies value.

Wednesday, September 20, 2023

EOG Resources



EOG Resources Inc, the American energy company is undervalued.

At 29.61 billion USD revenue growing at 49.72 % and net profit margin of 26.20 % for the calendar 2022 EOG Resources' net intrinsic value is 90 billion USD compared to EOG resources market capitalization of 75.11 billion USD, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s corporate view.

EOG Resources' 2.56 % annual dividend yield is an added bonus to its undervaluation.



Tuesday, September 19, 2023

Stryker Valuation


Stryker Corp, the American multinational medical technologies corporation is overvalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

Stryker Corp with 18.45 billion USD in annual revenue on 12.78 % net profit margin and 7.84 % growth year on year has an estimated intrinsic worth of 92 billion USD, below Stryker Corp's current market capitalization of 111.36 billion USD, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s projections and estimates.

Stryker Corp's revenue is growing, but not fast enough and Stryker Corp is not very profitable so as to justify its current market capitalization. Stryker Corp's dividend yield of 1.02 % is also not very large a distribution.

Monday, September 18, 2023

End Of Work From Home Or New Coronavirus Pandemic Bout


Many large companies including Tesla, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley are ordering or at least pushing workers to return to work from the office.

On the other hand, there are signs there is a new wave of the coronavirus COVID-19 upon the world.

According to Wolfteam Ltd.’s corporate view, the coronavirus  COVID-19 pandemic is not over. The coronavirus proved remarkably resilient and adaptive. COVID - 19 surmounted cure after cure, with remarkable strength and agility. And the signs from the recent weeks show that COVID -19 is still present and even the COVID -19 infections are gaining speed again.

A new, massive coronavirus bout could prove beneficial for stay at home stocks as Snap 🫰 Inc, Snapchat’s application producer, Pinterest and Netflix.

As it was the case during the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic lockdowns.

Thursday, September 14, 2023

Why Doesn't Gold's Price Go Higher?

 


The answer to the question in the title is due to several factors.

First, higher negative interest rates influence negatively the price of gold, because gold is not an interest bearing asset.

Second, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies seem to be perceived as an instrument to store value, which takes investment flows away from gold and other precious metals.

Given the two factors, one must remember there are other factors that can drive gold's price higher. Like excessive outstanding money, geopolitical uncertainty and buying from central banks.

All in all, gold and gold mining stocks are grossly undervalued in Wolfteam Ltd.'s corporate opinion.

That, however, has been the case for 3 years in a row now.

Wednesday, September 13, 2023

Tesla Is Grossly Overvalued

Tesla's intrinsic value is 120 billion USD, according to Wolfteam Ltd. and this is mainly the value of the electric vehicles technology, the software, machine learning, machine engineers, economists and other staff working for Tesla.

Tesla, if one cancels US tax subsidies is deeply unprofitable with a negative net profit margin of around (-) 25%. Tesla Inc needs a technological breakthrough to become profitable, because production of electric cars is almost prohibitively expensive, since a lot of ferrous metals are used.

Tesla needs a technological breakthrough.

Tuesday, September 12, 2023

Bitcoin, Crypto Valuation On Risk


Essentially all new technology investments are options on a new, breakthrough technology.

All financial options depend heavily on volatility or the standard deviation for their pricing. The problem is, the movements in the option price are in the same direction as the volatility.

Which in plain sight is counterintuitive. Better managerial decisions have to be associated with higher option price. Which is usually the case.

However, negative management decisions, which increase the volatility of the underlying technology also illicit higher option prices for the underlying technology. Which is obviously wrong.

The recent negative volatility in Bitcoin, crypto brings higher option prices for Bitcoin, crypto, which is counterintuitive.

In short, Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies are undervalued currently, while options on Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies are overvalued in the short-term.

CME Group Valuation

 


The Chicago Mercantile Exchange, CME Group, the leading derivatives exchange is undervalued.

CME Group's intrinsic value is 100 billion USD compared with its current market capitalization of 74.08 billion USD, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

CME Group is extracting a comparatively low revenue from the valuable service of risk management it offers. Ancillary services like advertising, content marketing etc. can get more revenue for CME Group.

At 5.01 billion USD yearly revenue growing at 9.74 % year on year, 53.73 % net profit margin for the calendar 2022 and a trailing annual dividen yield of 2.05 % CME Group is undervalued.

CME Group has exceptional profitability and in the last four quarters CME Group's revenue grew by 11 % on average.

Monday, September 11, 2023

Boston Scientific Valuation

 


Boston Scientific Corporation, the biomedical/biotechnology engineering firm is overvalued according to Wolfteam Ltd.

At 12.68 billion USD in annual revenue, growing at 6.68 % and net profit margin of 5.50 % Boston Scientific's intrinsic worth is 60 billion USD compared with Boston Scientific current market capitalization of 78.88 billion USD. In addition, Boston scientific does not distribute dividend.

The market seems to have too optimistic revenue growth and profitability projections for Boston Scientific. According to Wolfteam Ltd.'s growth forecasts, profitability estimates and comparables analysis Boston Scientific is overvalued.

Sunday, September 10, 2023

Bitcoin Is Undervalued On Global Conflict Potential


 

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are undervalued on the potential for a World War III.

We are currently experiencing a global tumult, havoc that could easily result in a global, armed conflict.

Then, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will be sought after as a means of exchange, store of value and unit of account or money, that is.

More and more institutional investors are entering the cryptocurrencies asset class, which is bringing stability to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies' prices making them more suitable as investment opportunities.

Copart Valuation

 


Copart Inc, the global provider of online vehicle auction and remarketing services is overvalued at a market capitalization of 42.67 billion USD.

At yearly revenue of 3.50 billion USD growing at 30.02 % year on year and net profit margin of 31.14 % for the calendar 2022 Copart's intrinsic value is 29 billion USD, compared with Copart's current market capitalization of 42.67 billion USD.

Copart is extremely profitable and revenue grew by 8.71 % for the last reported quarter, but the market seems to be assuming too high revenue growth rate and remaining very high or even increasing profitability for Copart.

In short, Copart is circa 25 % overvalued according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s growth projetions and comparables analysis.

Saturday, September 9, 2023

Linde Valuation


 
Linde PLC, the multinational chemical, industrial gas company is fairly valued at circa 190 billion USD according to Wolfteam Ltd.

Natural gas is arguably the future of energy and Linde PLC is a leader in the field of industrial gases.

At 33.36 billion USD revenue growing by  8.35 % year on year and 12.43 net profit margin, Linde PLC's market capitalization of 188.74 billion USD is roughly equal to Linde PLC's intrinsic value.

Linde PLC has a moat around its product and natural gas is a clean energy fuel by many standards and according to many analysts and investors.



Marsh & McLennan Companies Valuation

 


Marsh & McLennan, the global professional services firm is overvalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd. 

At 20.72 billion USD revenue growing at 4.54 % year on year and net profit margin of 14.72 % for the calendar 2022 Marsh & McLennan's intrinsic value is 70 billion USD compared with Marsh & McLennan's current market capitalization of 96.20 billion USD

The market seems to be implying too optimistic growth and profitability projections for Marsh & McLennan.

According to Wolfteam Ltd.'s corporate estimates, growth projections and comparables analysis Marsh & McLennan's intrinsic value is 70 billion USD.

Friday, September 8, 2023

Chipotle Mexican Grill Valuation



Chipotle Mexican Grill, the American casual restaurants chain is overvalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

At 8.63 billion USD yearly revenue growing at 14.41 % year on year ant net profit margin of 10.41 %, Chipotle Mexica Grill's intrinsic value is 44 billion USD compared with Chipotle Mexican Grill's market capitalization of 54.26 billion USD, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s revenue growth projections, profitability estimates and comparables analysis.

Chipotle Mexican Grill's revenue is growing briskly, but at the current level Chipotle Mexican Grill is valued as many technology companies taking into account Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price/Sales ratio, which I think is an exaggerated valuation.

Chipotle Mexican Grill is overvalued, that is.

Thursday, September 7, 2023

Colgate Palmolive Valuation

 


Colgate - Palmolive Company, the American multinational consumer products company is slightly overvalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

According to Wolfteam Ltd.'s corporate view at 17.97 billlion USD revenue growing at 3.17 % year on year and net profit margin of 9.93 % for the calendate 2022, Colgate-Palmolive's intrinsic worth is 50 billion USD compared to Colgate-Palmlive's current market capitalization of 59.79 billion USD.

The current annual dividend yield of 2.65 % is good, but Colgate-Palmolive's revenue is not growing and Colgate-Palmolive is not profitable enough to justify fully a market capitalization of 59.79 billion USD.


Motorola Solutions Valuation

 


Motorola Solutions Inc, the American video and telecommunications equipment company is undervalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

 At 9.11 billion USD revenue, growing at 11.52 % year on year and net profit margin of 14.96 % for 2022, Motorala Solutions true intrinsic value is 100 billion USD, compared to Motorola Solutions market capitalization of 46.92 billion USD.

The average yearly revenue growth of Motorola Solutions for the last rolling reported five quarters is 12 % on average combined with a net profit margin of 14 % on average of the last five reported quarters.

Motorola Mobility is undervalued based on Wolfteam Ltd.'s projections and estimates based on revenue growth, profitability and Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, Price/Book ratios comparables.


Wednesday, September 6, 2023

NVIDIA Is Overvalued

 


NVIDIA's intrinsic worth is 250 billion USD according to Wolfteam Ltd.

NVIDIA is overpriced on most money going to financing Artificial Intelligence AI investments.

Fear of missing out is gripping the market and its best example are NVIDIA and Tesla, both overvalued on the artificial intelligence, AI boom.

May be in the long-run NVIDIA will grow into its valuation, but currently NVIDIA is grossly overvalued.

Tuesday, September 5, 2023

Mastercard Valuation


Mastercard, the second largest payment processing corporation worldwide is overvalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s corporate opinion.

Mastercard's intrinsic value is 200 billion USD compared with Mastercard's current market capitalization of 388.28 billion USD.

At 22.24 billion revenue, net profit margin of 44.66 % and year on year revenue growth of 17.76 % Mastercard's intrinsic value is 200 billion USD, in spite of the very high net profit margin and high revenue growth rate.

Wolfteam Ltd.'s view is that the market is assuming too high and too prolonged revenue growth rate and too high a profitability for Mastercard, hence Mastercard is currently overvalued.

Lockheed Martin Valuation

 


Lockheed Martin Corp, the American aerospace and defense technology is undervalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

At 65.98 billion USD revenue and net profit margin of 8.69 % for 2022, Lockheed Martin's intrinsic value is 170 billion USD compared with its current market capitalization of 112.87 billion USD.

The current geopolitical tumult is causing the world to rearm itself, spending ever more money on defense military goods. Which is good for Lockheed Martin's business. 


According to Wolfteam Ltd.'s estimates and projections Lockheed Martin's revenue will soon return to year on year growth, which will help unlock Lockheed Martin's true value.

According to Wolfteam Ltd.'s estimates, projections and assessing comparables on growth and Price/Earnings, Price/Sales ratios and the annual dividend yield of 2.68 % Lockheed Martin is undervalued. 


Monday, September 4, 2023

Apple Is Overvalued On China Taiwan Tensions


Apple's intrinsic value is 1 trillion USD according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s assumptions and estimates, 67  % less compared to Apple Inc's current market capitalization of 2.96 trillion USD.

China seems to be making preparations, storing food and other supplies, according to internet articles in order to prepare to invade Taiwan.

More than 80 % of the computing processing chips in iPhones, iPads and Macintosh computers are manufactured by Hon Hai, Foxconn trademark name in Taiwan, where Taiwan's management is based.

 

 

Even without a China Taiwan conflict Apple's intrinsic worth is closer to 1.8 trillion USD, because the market seems to have too optimistic expectations about Apple's future revenue and profit growth.

However, with a China Taiwan possible conflict on the horizon Apple's intrinsic value is 1 trillion USD.

Sunday, September 3, 2023

Tesla's Intrinsic Value is 120 Billlion USD. Which is The Electric Vehicles Technology And The Software, AI Engineers Value


Tesla's intrinsic value is 120 Billion USD. Which is the electric vehicles technology and the software, AI engineers value is Wolfteam Ltd.'s corporate opinion. Barring a technology breakthrough, which could unlock huge value for Tesla Inc.

Far away from Tesla's current market capitalization of 767.73 billion USD.

What Mr 'Market' seems to be assuming by valuing Tesla at circa 768 billion USD is that Tesla will take something like 35 % + market share of the global automotive market, drive out of business most of the largest competing car manufacturers, acquire a pricing moat, which will ensure Tesla a significant pricing power that will provide for a 14 % + net profit margin and revenue growth rate of 10 % + year on year.

Purely narrative expectations, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

The stock market seems to have held the aforementioned expectations about Tesla for 5 years + now, but they have time and again proved away from reality.

Tesla is grossly overvalued, riding on dreams and hype, rather that historical performance, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

Saturday, September 2, 2023

General Dynamics Valuation

 


General Dynamics Corp, the American aerospace and defense corporation is undervalued, according to Wolfteam Ltd.

At 39.41 billion USD revenue for 2022, growing at 2.44 % year on year, net profit margin of 8.60 % for 2022, Price/Earnings ratio of 18.59 and trailing dividend yield of 2.28 %, General Dynamics is undervalued.


General Dynamics' intrinsic value is 170 billion USD, compared with General Dynamics current market capitalization of 61.81 billion USD on global rearmament, geopolitical tension and a recent global consensus that military equipment, arming and the military in general are important. According to Wolfteam Ltd.'s estimates.

More and more money will flow to improving military capabilities, the world over and General Dynamics stands to benefit enormously from that global trend in action currently.


Friday, September 1, 2023

Too 7 AI, Cloud Technology Companies’ Stocks Valuation


NVIDIA is overvalued by 60 %.

TESLA is overvalued by 75 %.

APPLE is overvalued by 60 %.

MICROSOFT is overvalued by 35 %.

ALPHABET is overvalued by 38 %.

AMAZON is overvalued by 54 %.

META is overvalued by 33 %.

Elevance Health Valuation


Elevance Health Inc, the American health insurance provider is undervalued.

On revenue of 156.595 billion USD for the calendar 2022, which grew by 12.95 % year on year, net profit margin of 3.85 % Elevance Health has too much unlocked value. Elevance Health's revenue grew by 50 % in the last five calendar reported years up to 2022 and the net profit margin stayed at 4 % on average.

Elevance Health's intrinsic value is 270 billion USD, compared with Elevance Health's current market capitalization of 108.30 billion USD.

At a trailing Price/Earnings of  16.46 Elevance Health is undervalued, given the logical and Wolfteam  Ltd.'s projections for future revenue growth and stable profitability.