Dear Reader,
Here are my thoughts on Tesla, Airbnb and Currencies.
As you might know, Tesla is making losses of around 3 billion USD a year.
As far as I am concerned, there are two ways in which Tesla survives and thrives:
1) It starts to make money.
2) The governments start banging with a fist on the table, which they are doing, and say every car should be powered by electricity.
Tesla and Solar city's successes are largely financed by subsidies. If the governments stop them, Tesla and Solar City will most probably go out of business.
One of the problems are that electric cars use a lot of ferrous metals, which are expensive and make the cars expensive.
Airbnb is profitable, but still dependent on governments to survive with looser regulation.
Otherwise, I think the US stock market will go on climbing higher. I like gaming stocks like TTWO, ATVI, EA and lithium producers like ALB(Albemarle Corporation)..
If the Federal Reserve goes on raising rates US banks should outperform. Oil, measured by US WTI will start drifting higher and will establish a new range measured by 60 - 70 USD. Brent oil already almost touched 60 USD.
Disclaimer:
The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social
networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are not investment recommendation,
are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an
offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions
expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of the company where I am working currently!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
Stocks valuations, analysis. Unbiased. Insightful. Property of Wolfteam Ltd., www.wolfteamedge.com If you find the blog useful, LINK TO www.posledovich.blogspot.com Stocks, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, AI, analysis, insights. CLICK ADVERTISEMENTS, SHARE ON SOCIAL NETWORKS! Technology, Bitcoin, AI, company strategy, stocks analysis. Stocks, crypto involve high RISK! Nothing on this blog is meant or should be construed as investment recommendation to buy or sell securities or their derivatives!
Disclaimer:
Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is".
The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights.
Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks.
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks!
The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com
Respectfully yours,
Petar Posledovich
Saturday, September 30, 2017
Tesla, Airbnb, Cryptocurrencies, US Bank Stocks and Oil!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Wednesday, September 27, 2017
Germany Elections Results, European Stocks!
Dear Reader,
The German 2017 election results bode OK for Europe. There will be no debt mutualization, read the Germans will pay for everyone, which they cannot. The eurozone will continue integrating slowly which is the best option, as far as I am concerned.
Germany should start making small budget deficits which will put negligible upward pressure on the 10 year bunds yield.
EUR/USD should fall a bit. It is just too high.
Europe's banks should benefit from the German elections result.
Europe's growth will stay above 2%, which should prove beneficial for Europe's equities.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of the company where I am working currently!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
The German 2017 election results bode OK for Europe. There will be no debt mutualization, read the Germans will pay for everyone, which they cannot. The eurozone will continue integrating slowly which is the best option, as far as I am concerned.
Germany should start making small budget deficits which will put negligible upward pressure on the 10 year bunds yield.
EUR/USD should fall a bit. It is just too high.
Europe's banks should benefit from the German elections result.
Europe's growth will stay above 2%, which should prove beneficial for Europe's equities.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of the company where I am working currently!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Thursday, September 21, 2017
Are the Largest Capitalization US Technology Stocks(Big 5) Overvalued?
Dear Reader,
Many leading investors have said that technology stocks are in a bubble. I will take a look at the big 5 US and global technology stocks: Apple, Google, Microsoft, Amazon and Facebook.
The technology behemoths exhibit different valuation metrics. Apple has P/E Ratio of 17.75, Google's P/E is 34.30, Microsoft's P/E is at 27.67, Amazon's P/E is 245.56, Facebook's P/E is 37.40.
The internet advertising market is growing strongly -> 10-20% a year and this trend supports the high valuations of Google and Facebook. The internet commerce is exploding, so this keeps Amazon's valuation high. The cloud services market is one of the next big things, so Microsoft's valuation is supported. Apple is thought to be increasing its market share and coupled with the growth of the smartphone market and some analysts see it's market cap surpassing 1 trillion USD.
Are they overvalued? It is difficult to say! If their respective markets continue growing strongly, they will soon grow into their valuations.
But if they are overvalued, by how much?
My verdict:
Facebook seems the most overvalued of them all. I know it has the biggest engagement, but still. I think Facebook is overvalued by 30%. Amazon is overvalued by 30%. Google is overvalued by 20%. Apple and Microsoft by 10%.
But the valuations are dynamic. If their respective markets continue to grow rapidly and there are no major new competitors, they may well prove to be undervalued in the long-term.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of the company where I am working currently!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
Many leading investors have said that technology stocks are in a bubble. I will take a look at the big 5 US and global technology stocks: Apple, Google, Microsoft, Amazon and Facebook.
The technology behemoths exhibit different valuation metrics. Apple has P/E Ratio of 17.75, Google's P/E is 34.30, Microsoft's P/E is at 27.67, Amazon's P/E is 245.56, Facebook's P/E is 37.40.
The internet advertising market is growing strongly -> 10-20% a year and this trend supports the high valuations of Google and Facebook. The internet commerce is exploding, so this keeps Amazon's valuation high. The cloud services market is one of the next big things, so Microsoft's valuation is supported. Apple is thought to be increasing its market share and coupled with the growth of the smartphone market and some analysts see it's market cap surpassing 1 trillion USD.
Are they overvalued? It is difficult to say! If their respective markets continue growing strongly, they will soon grow into their valuations.
But if they are overvalued, by how much?
My verdict:
Facebook seems the most overvalued of them all. I know it has the biggest engagement, but still. I think Facebook is overvalued by 30%. Amazon is overvalued by 30%. Google is overvalued by 20%. Apple and Microsoft by 10%.
But the valuations are dynamic. If their respective markets continue to grow rapidly and there are no major new competitors, they may well prove to be undervalued in the long-term.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of the company where I am working currently!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Saturday, September 16, 2017
ETF Industry, Technology Stocks, Russian Stocks, Natural Gas!
Dear Reader,
The US stock market rally will go on for the foreseeable future. A black swan event is not in sight.The ETF industry could, however, trigger the next financial crises. It is already systematic and opaque in some corners.
As far as growth stocks are concerned I like Arista Networks(ANET), BOX, AMD, NVDA,TTWO, EA,ATVI. Nvidia(NVDA) looks pricey, but artificial intelligence is still yet to discover its enormous potential. NVDA build chips for artificial intelligence.
Technology mega cap stocks like APPLE, GOOGLE, MSFT, AMAZON, FACEBOOK could go higher still. Technology is here to stay, although there are the normal cycles. It could crash for several years, but technology is one of the ways to advance humanity.
Oil could go to 70 USD shortly, which would benefit Russian stocks, in particular. Basically, I think Russian stocks are underpriced. They are a pure value play. I think natural gas could become yet bigger for the automobile industry, which would hugely benefit Gazprom and Russia. Natural gas is extremely cheap now, so I think the industry will realize this relatively soon.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of the company where I am working currently!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
The US stock market rally will go on for the foreseeable future. A black swan event is not in sight.The ETF industry could, however, trigger the next financial crises. It is already systematic and opaque in some corners.
As far as growth stocks are concerned I like Arista Networks(ANET), BOX, AMD, NVDA,TTWO, EA,ATVI. Nvidia(NVDA) looks pricey, but artificial intelligence is still yet to discover its enormous potential. NVDA build chips for artificial intelligence.
Technology mega cap stocks like APPLE, GOOGLE, MSFT, AMAZON, FACEBOOK could go higher still. Technology is here to stay, although there are the normal cycles. It could crash for several years, but technology is one of the ways to advance humanity.
Oil could go to 70 USD shortly, which would benefit Russian stocks, in particular. Basically, I think Russian stocks are underpriced. They are a pure value play. I think natural gas could become yet bigger for the automobile industry, which would hugely benefit Gazprom and Russia. Natural gas is extremely cheap now, so I think the industry will realize this relatively soon.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of the company where I am working currently!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Sunday, September 10, 2017
Emerging Markets Stocks, Russia, Brazil and US Growth Stocks!
Dear Reader,
Emerging markets stock markets, Russia and Brazil, especially look undervalued.
I think oil, although stuck in a range, could break out to 70 USD for both WTI and Brent.
Russian and Brazilian stocks are thus poised to rise significantly. Basically, now emerging markets stocks are value stocks and US stocks seem the growth stocks. I do think the rally of US stocks will continue.
Nvidia could continue to profit from the ensuing Artificial Intelligence boom, while AMD could benefit from the Bitcoin revolution.
Lithium producers like Albemarle Corporation(NYSE:ALB) could benefit if electric cars take off. Furthermore demand for batteries is increasing, Albemarle certainly seems like a growth stock for the future.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of the company where I am working currently!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
Emerging markets stock markets, Russia and Brazil, especially look undervalued.
I think oil, although stuck in a range, could break out to 70 USD for both WTI and Brent.
Russian and Brazilian stocks are thus poised to rise significantly. Basically, now emerging markets stocks are value stocks and US stocks seem the growth stocks. I do think the rally of US stocks will continue.
Nvidia could continue to profit from the ensuing Artificial Intelligence boom, while AMD could benefit from the Bitcoin revolution.
Lithium producers like Albemarle Corporation(NYSE:ALB) could benefit if electric cars take off. Furthermore demand for batteries is increasing, Albemarle certainly seems like a growth stock for the future.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of the company where I am working currently!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Thursday, September 7, 2017
US Technology Stocks, Central Banks, Large Cap Banks and Oil Companies!
Dear Reader,
The US stocks bull run is still going strong. Nasdaq is on track to chalk up 30% return on 2017 as in 2013.
The European Central Bank gave a dovish message today and could possibly continue to buy bonds actively, which should further support stocks.
Gold is going up strongly in the last few weeks. The upside for gold, however, is limited by the intention of the Federal Reserve to continue raising the Federal Funds Rate.
Electronic gaming stocks(TTWO, EA, ATVI) seem a good investment, since millenials are deeply involved in playing electronic games on PCs, Tablets, Mobile Phones etc. Google, despite its huge market capitalization, seems not to be overvalued. Its market is simply growing very strongly and the company goes on earning high rates of return. Facebook has a huge profit margin. Microsoft and Apple seem fully valued, though. But it all depends on the IPhone and cloud services for those two technology behemoths.
Large cap banks and oil companies are the value plays of the moment. If the global economy does not take off actively soon, I do not see too much upside for large cap banks. Oil seems stuck in a range for the moment, but a bounce to 70 USD is possible in the midterm. So large cap banks and energy companies should continue to be value plays.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of the company where I am working currently!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
The US stocks bull run is still going strong. Nasdaq is on track to chalk up 30% return on 2017 as in 2013.
The European Central Bank gave a dovish message today and could possibly continue to buy bonds actively, which should further support stocks.
Gold is going up strongly in the last few weeks. The upside for gold, however, is limited by the intention of the Federal Reserve to continue raising the Federal Funds Rate.
Electronic gaming stocks(TTWO, EA, ATVI) seem a good investment, since millenials are deeply involved in playing electronic games on PCs, Tablets, Mobile Phones etc. Google, despite its huge market capitalization, seems not to be overvalued. Its market is simply growing very strongly and the company goes on earning high rates of return. Facebook has a huge profit margin. Microsoft and Apple seem fully valued, though. But it all depends on the IPhone and cloud services for those two technology behemoths.
Large cap banks and oil companies are the value plays of the moment. If the global economy does not take off actively soon, I do not see too much upside for large cap banks. Oil seems stuck in a range for the moment, but a bounce to 70 USD is possible in the midterm. So large cap banks and energy companies should continue to be value plays.
Disclaimer: The blogposts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of the company where I am working currently!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Kind regards,
Petar Posledovich
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
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