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Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is". The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights. Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks. Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks! The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com Respectfully yours, Petar Posledovich

Tuesday, January 25, 2022

Cloud Stocks Valuation In the Current Environment


Cloud computing company stocks have fallen a lot in the latest stock market correction that could soon become a bear market which could lead to a full blown panic.

In the heady days for cloud computing stocks since the 2020 coronavirus pandemic eruption it seemed relatively justified from a valuation standpoint for cloud computing stocks to trade at a Price/Sales ratio of 22. I am using the Price/Sales metric since most cloud computing stocks are not profitable. The reason was the high future revenue growth expectations of cloud computing companies driven by the brisk growth of the cloud computing market in general. Ultimately the higher revenue would lead to profits which would be later distributed as dividends to shareholders.

Has the latest stock market, concerning technology stocks in particular, sell off changed the narrative? Not too much, in  my opinion. Now cloud computing stocks trade at a Price/Sales ratios of around 17, but still cloud computing is expected to save corporations, governments and individuals time, effort and money. Actually, one could pay per usage of a particular cloud service and this tailor made offering by technology giants like Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet is proving quite cost efficient and preferred by customers.

The world is moving towards digitalization and cloud computing is just the software that allows that.

In my opinion, if the Nasdaq Composite falls another 10% to 20% from current levels, most cloud computing stocks, especially lesser known and niche cloud startups will become undervalued. A future multi baggers, possibly ten baggers in 10 years time, to use the phrase popularized by Peter Lynch.


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