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Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is". The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights. Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks. Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks! The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com Respectfully yours, Petar Posledovich

Monday, January 3, 2022

Bank Stocks and Rising Interest Rates


The Federal Reserve, the central bank of the USA and other major central banks like the European Central Bank are about to start action to raise their target interest rates and thus the general interest rate levels in the economy to limit inflation.

In my opinion, if raising the interest rates by central banks is done gradually, bank stocks, regional banks in the USA, especially, will benefit and the stock prices of money centre banks and regional banks, in particular, will rise by somewhere between 10 % and 50 % in the next 3 years.

Commercial banks, influence by the central banks, tend to raise rates on customer deposits more slowly than they raise the rates on the credits they give out. Thus their net interest margin, the stable of the banking business, widens and bank's profits and market capitalisations increase.

I expect  in the next 3 years value stocks as of now like banks, insurance and in general financial stocks, along with commodities, energy and industrial sector stocks's prices to increase faster than technology stocks in general and the value stocks and growth stocks valuation difference to narrow.

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