Disclaimer:

Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is". The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights. Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks. Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks! The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com Respectfully yours, Petar Posledovich

Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Private Equity And The Relatively High Interest Rates Levels In The USA

 


Many analysts claim the relative under performance of the stocks of the largest private equity firms in the world Blackstone, KKR, Apollo, Carlyle, Ares, CVC etc. is due to the high levels of interest rates currently in the USA.

The Federal Funds Rate, the leading rate set by the Federal Reserve was lowered to 3.75 % on the 10th of December 2025.

Wall Street equity research analysts claim the high interest rates needed to finance the circa 70 % of debt financed leveraged buyouts puts downward pressure on the value and valuations the leading private equity firms Blackstone, KKR, Apollo, Carlyle, Ares, CVC etc. are prepared to pay for leveraged buyout acquisitions. That is intrinsically true, of course.

But the huge wave of money available in the global financial system going after currently mainly artificial intelligence, AI technology company investments applies upward pressure on value and valuations. This could create a virtuous deal cycle that could recycle private equity firms 2021 and earlier investments and provide new cash flows for new investments, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s projections and estimates.

The valuations of the S&P 500 are historically high, but this does not mean they could not go higher.

If the AI boom turns into bust, however, which could affect the whole US stock market, private equity companies could loose large part of their value.

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