Disclaimer:

Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is". The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights. Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks. Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks! The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com Respectfully yours, Petar Posledovich

Wednesday, January 8, 2025

Apollo Is A Leader In Private Credit

 


Apollo Global Management's assets under management are 733 according to its third quarter 2024 report.

598 billlion or 85 % of Apollo Global Management's assets are in private credit.

That makes Apollo a leader in private credit investing globally, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s estimates. Private credit is a hot area, which enhances the yield investors get. Apollo buys up high yield bonds company involved in leveraged buyouts issue, invests in CLOs, CDOs with some acumen to increase returns.

Many institutional investors are showing great interest in private credit investing. That is why the inflows to Apollo and Apollo's assets are growing constantly in the last few years.This is reflected in the 31.94 billion USDs in revenue Apollo achieved in 2023, a huge increase on the prior years. At 96.4 billion USD market capitalization Apollo still looks undervalued. The intrinsic value of Apollo is 154 billion USD, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s projections and estimates.

Private credit returns as of late have been great, which further enhances the value Apollo Global Management carries. Private credit brings good risk adjusted yields, which institutional investors seek. 

In 2025 many Wall Street equity research and fixed income analysts expect a lively year for mergers and acquisitions, driven mainly by private equity's 'dry powder' investments. The envisaged new leveraged buyouts will again buoy the credit markets as companies undergoing leveraged buyout will issue new high yield debt, which funds like Apollo Global Management will invest in. In addition, the Federal Reserve is expected to continue cutting interest rates, which will support the high yield bonds market.

This will make private credit markets even deeper and liquid which will attract even more money.


Sunday, January 5, 2025

Bitcoin's Price Could Exceed 200 000 USD in 2025

 


Bitcoin is still undervalued on global cryptocurrency adoption, looser regulation and institutional investors demand, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s projections and estimates.

The incoming President Donald Trump's administration could create a perfect storm for Bitcoin's price to go above 200 000 USD, in Wolfteam Ltd.'s view.

 All institutional investors are looking for extra yield on their investments and many hedge funds, asset managers, endowments and even pension funds would be tempted to invest in Bitcoin mainly, but also in other currencies to keep their promises to their investors and capital providers.

In 2025 there could be many more Initial Public Offerings, IPOs which will increase the capital sent back to venture capital funds, which on their turn would plow the IPO recycled capital into new ventures, crypto ICOs also and feed the entrepreneurship machine. The turnover of capital could increase in 2025.

Saturday, January 4, 2025

Apollo Global Management And Carlyle Group Comparison

 

Apollo Global Management, the private equity giant dwarfs in terms of market capitalization Carlyle Group, another private equity giant, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s analysis.

Apollo's market capitalization is 101.44 billion USD compared with Carlyle's 18.54 billion USD market capitalization.

Apollo Global Management's revenue for the calendar 2023 is 31.94 billion USD, while Carlyle Goup Inc's revenue for the calendar 2023 is 2.42 billion USD which partly explains the large difference in the valuation of Apollo and Carlyle. Although Carlyle pays out a 2.70 % dividend yield and Apollo does not pay out any dividends at all, Apollo is much more valuable on the stock market.

Carlyle's assets under management are 447 billion USD according to its third quarter 2024 earnings statement, compared with Apollo's 733 billion USD assets under management according to Apollo's third quarter 2024 earnings statement.

Apollo's 85 % of assets under management are in credit assets, while 75 % of the fee earning assets under management of Carlyle are in global private equity. Since credit investing is a hot, popular area and Apollo's almost twice as large assets under management compared to Carlyle's helps explain why Apollo's market capitalization is 101.44 billion USD compared with Carlyle's 18.54 billion USD market capitalization.

Friday, January 3, 2025

Private Equity Giants Insurance Strategy

 


Circa 30 % - 40 % of the capital under management of the leading private equity firms Blackstone, KKR, Apollo, Carlyle is so called perpetual capital in the sense that it consists of insurance premiums fees from Blackstone, KKR, Apollo, Carlyle insurance businesses, according to Wolfteam Ltd.'s calculations

Such insurance capital provides for long-term capital appreciation opportunities. Blackstone, KKR, Apollo, Carlyle invest the insurance premium fees from their insurance lines in their private equity, real estate and credit and lending asset management businesses for long-term gains.

The US stock market seems to imply that Blackstone, KKR, Apollo, Carlyle will realize large returns from their investments as Blackstone, KKR, Apollo, Carlyle are trading at large, premium valuation multiples like Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, Price/Book ratios.