Dear Reader,
I forecast the 10 year German government bonds yield will stay below 1.5% in 2015. EUR/USD to target 0.90 in 2015. US stocks sould post gains of 5-8% in 2015.
My forecast that the eurozone 'periphery' government bonds(Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland etc.) will sell off came true recently. My forecast that German 10 year bunds will sell off also came true. See earlier posts
I forecast gold will sell off to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
The eurozone 'periphery' government bonds(Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland etc.) sell off will continue. Spanish and Italian 10 year government bonds yields will touch 3.00% in 2015.
US 10 year treasury yield will touch 2.70% in 2015.
The Federal Reserve will raise the Federal Funds Rate in September AND December by 0.25%.
I forecast the US and eurozone GDP will grow less than 2.3% and 1.7% year on year respectively
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter,
LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and
do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any
securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
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Disclaimer:
Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is".
The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights.
Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks.
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks!
The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com
Respectfully yours,
Petar Posledovich
Friday, June 26, 2015
Financial Forecasts, Results and Update!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Friday, June 19, 2015
Economic and Financial Forecasts!
Dear Reader,
I forecast that the German 10 year bunds yield will stay bellow 1.5% in 2015. US 10 year treasury yield is to target 2.7% in 2015. EUR/USD to reach 0.90 in 2015. Gold to fall to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
I forecast the US economy will grow below 2.3% in 2015 and the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 0.25 in September AND December 2015.
US stock markets measured by the main indices to rise 5-8% in 2015. European major stock markets(DAX, FTSE, CAC) to rise 10% in 2015. I forecast the eurozone to grow below 1.7% year on year in 2015.
I forecast Spanish and Italian 10 year bonds yields to reach 3.00% in 2015.
IF Greece defaults, Spanish and Italian 10 year bonds yields can touch 5.5%!
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
I forecast that the German 10 year bunds yield will stay bellow 1.5% in 2015. US 10 year treasury yield is to target 2.7% in 2015. EUR/USD to reach 0.90 in 2015. Gold to fall to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
I forecast the US economy will grow below 2.3% in 2015 and the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 0.25 in September AND December 2015.
US stock markets measured by the main indices to rise 5-8% in 2015. European major stock markets(DAX, FTSE, CAC) to rise 10% in 2015. I forecast the eurozone to grow below 1.7% year on year in 2015.
I forecast Spanish and Italian 10 year bonds yields to reach 3.00% in 2015.
IF Greece defaults, Spanish and Italian 10 year bonds yields can touch 5.5%!
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Friday, June 12, 2015
Forecast Results, Bonds, Stocks, Commodities and Foreign Exchange!
Dear Reader,
10 year German bunds yield fulfilled my forecast of 1.00% in 2015 this week. I expect 10 year German bunds yield to stay below 1.5% in 2015.
My forecast that the DAX will enter a correction(a fall of 10%) also came true. I expect the main European indices(FTSE, CAC, DAX) to post gains of around 10% in 2015.
I forecast the main US stock indices(DJIA, S&P 500 and Nasdaq) will rise 5-8% in 2015.
Gold is to target 800 USD in 2-3 years time. EUR/USD to target 0.90 in 2015.
US 10 year treasury yield to touch 2.70% in 2015.
My forecast(see preious posts) that oil will bounce from around 40 USD also came true. But I forecast bounces at 80 and 70 USD :-), so I will not commit with a forecast for now.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
10 year German bunds yield fulfilled my forecast of 1.00% in 2015 this week. I expect 10 year German bunds yield to stay below 1.5% in 2015.
My forecast that the DAX will enter a correction(a fall of 10%) also came true. I expect the main European indices(FTSE, CAC, DAX) to post gains of around 10% in 2015.
I forecast the main US stock indices(DJIA, S&P 500 and Nasdaq) will rise 5-8% in 2015.
Gold is to target 800 USD in 2-3 years time. EUR/USD to target 0.90 in 2015.
US 10 year treasury yield to touch 2.70% in 2015.
My forecast(see preious posts) that oil will bounce from around 40 USD also came true. But I forecast bounces at 80 and 70 USD :-), so I will not commit with a forecast for now.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Friday, June 5, 2015
Bunds Forecast, Stocks, Bonds, FX and Commodities!
Dear Reader,
My forecast that German 10 year bunds yields will touch 1.00% in 2015 almost came true yesterday. I stick with it. I believe the German 10 year bunds yields will not go over 1.00% by much in 2015.
I am still of the opinion that US stocks will post a gain of 5-8% measured by the main indices.
I forecast that the Federal Reserve will raise the Federal Funds Rate in September.
I forecast gold will tumble to 800 USD in 2-3 years. As I predicted, European stocks largely suffered a 10% correction from the highs reached in 2015. I believe DAX, CAC and FTSE will post around 10% gains for 2015.
I still believe EUR/USD will touch 0.90 in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
My forecast that German 10 year bunds yields will touch 1.00% in 2015 almost came true yesterday. I stick with it. I believe the German 10 year bunds yields will not go over 1.00% by much in 2015.
I am still of the opinion that US stocks will post a gain of 5-8% measured by the main indices.
I forecast that the Federal Reserve will raise the Federal Funds Rate in September.
I forecast gold will tumble to 800 USD in 2-3 years. As I predicted, European stocks largely suffered a 10% correction from the highs reached in 2015. I believe DAX, CAC and FTSE will post around 10% gains for 2015.
I still believe EUR/USD will touch 0.90 in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
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