Dear Reader,
Oil continues its precipitous fall. On the currency front I expect the USD/YEN to reach 125 in 1 year and 140 in 2-3 years.
Monday will be an interesting day for gold. On Sunday the results of the referendum in Switzerland will be known. I personally expect gold to gap lower on Monday. A good way to play this is being short major gold miners's stocks and/or buying mid term put options.
Disclaimer: This article is provided solely for informational purposes, and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities or currencies mentioned in the blogpost!
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Disclaimer:
Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is".
The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights.
Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks.
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks!
The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com
Respectfully yours,
Petar Posledovich
Friday, November 28, 2014
Gold and Yen!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
State of market affairs!
Dear Reader,
I haven't written in the blog for a while. Meanwhile my prediction that there is going to be a correction came true with 9.9% fall in the S&P 500 in September/October. The market fully recovered since then.
However, I still expect that there is going to be more serious fall (20-30% in the main indices) and 30-40% in technology stocks in 1 to 2 years, once the Federal Reserve starts tightening. Basically, there is a bubble in technology stocks. The valuation of the US stock market(excluding some pockets) is too high for the economic environment the world is in.
The EUR/USD is well on its way to 1.00 in 2 to 3 years. The 10 year treasury should hit 3% or more in the same time span. The German 10 year yield should climb higher from the current lows.
For now, though, in my opinion it seems smart to be long certain value US stocks.
Disclaimer: This article is provided solely for informational purposes, and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities or currencies mentioned in the blogpost!
I haven't written in the blog for a while. Meanwhile my prediction that there is going to be a correction came true with 9.9% fall in the S&P 500 in September/October. The market fully recovered since then.
However, I still expect that there is going to be more serious fall (20-30% in the main indices) and 30-40% in technology stocks in 1 to 2 years, once the Federal Reserve starts tightening. Basically, there is a bubble in technology stocks. The valuation of the US stock market(excluding some pockets) is too high for the economic environment the world is in.
The EUR/USD is well on its way to 1.00 in 2 to 3 years. The 10 year treasury should hit 3% or more in the same time span. The German 10 year yield should climb higher from the current lows.
For now, though, in my opinion it seems smart to be long certain value US stocks.
Disclaimer: This article is provided solely for informational purposes, and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities or currencies mentioned in the blogpost!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
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