SpaceX is now valued by public markets at 2.1 trillion USD.
There are three possible scenarios for Tesla's value in the future:
1) Current scenario based on the three most recent yearly financial reports of SpaceX:
SpaceX is worth 210 billion USDs. This is only true if Tesla spins off or sells out of its loss making AI business and is left only with its Connectivity business which produced net income of 4.423 billion USD in the calendar 2025. SpaceX's space business had a net loss of (657) million USDs in 2025.
SpaceX's reported a loss of (4.276) billion USDs for the 1st Quarter of 2026 and a loss of (4.937) billion USD for the calendar 2026.
2) Mild profitability scenario.
SpaceX's AI business lives only partially to the extremely positive scenarios of some Wall Street equity research investors and analysts and SpaceX's AI business starts making 5 billion USDs in net profit on 18 billion USDs yearly revenue in 2030. SpaceX's overall revenue and profit reach 42 billion and 10 billion USDs in 2030 and grow by 5 % a year from there on for the next 10 years.
In such a scenario, SpaceX could be worth 1.1 trillion USDs
3) Huge success 'current' scenario.
SpaceX lives up to the some of the most optimistic current Wall Street equity research investors and analysts' estimates.
For example SpaceX's AI business is a huge success and reaches 87 billion USDs in revenue and 15 billion USDs in net profit in the calendar 2040. SpaceX's connectivity business clocks in 40 billion USDs of revenue and 8 billion USDs of profit in 2040 and SpaceX's space business also starts making around 15 billion USDs in revenue and 3 billion USDs in profit by 2040.
In such a case SpaceX's value could reach 2.8 trillion USDs.
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