Disclaimer:

Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is". The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights. Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks. Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks! The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com Respectfully yours, Petar Posledovich

Friday, July 3, 2026

What If AI Turns Out To Be A Bubble And Bursts?


 

If AI turns out to be a bubble and busts there are two possible scenarios:

1) Mild realistic scenario:

The Nasdaq Composite falls 46 % from its peak.

1) Apple's market capitalization falls to 1.7 trillion USDs from 4.53 trillion USDs currently.  

2) Microsoft's market capitalization falls to 1.4 trillion USDs from 2.90 trillion USDs currently

3) Alphabet's market capitalization falls to 2.0 trillion USDs from 4.36 trillion USDs currently.

4) Amazon's market capitalization falls to 1.5 trillion USDs from 2.61 trillion USDs currently

5)  Meta's market capitalization falls 800 billion USDs from 1.48 trillion USDs

6) Tesla's market capitalization falls to 0.5 trillion USDs from 1.23 trillion USDs currently

7) NVIDIA's market capitalization falls to 2.3 trillion USDs from 4.71 trillion USDs currently 

 

1) Pessimistic scenario scenario:

The Nasdaq Composite falls 62 % or more from its peak.

1) Apple's market capitalization falls to 800 billion USDs from 4.53 trillion USDs currently.  

2) Microsoft's market capitalization falls to 600 billion USDs from 2.90 trillion USDs currently

3) Alphabet's market capitalization falls to 700 billion USDs from 4.36 trillion USDs currently.

4) Amazon's market capitalization falls to 600 billion USDs from 2.61 trillion USDs currently

5) Meta's market capitalization falls 400 billion USDs from 1.48 trillion USDs

6) Tesla's market capitalization falls to 120 billion USDs from 1.23 trillion USDs currently

7) NVIDIA's market capitalization falls to 420 billion USDs from 4.71 trillion USDs currently 

 

Actually in a worst case scenario the Nasdaq Composite could fall 82 % or more as in the Dot Com boom and bust.

In such a worst case the Magnificent 7 stocks Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Tesla and NVIDIA's market capitalization could fall 80 % or more from their current levels.