Dear Reader,
I revise my forecast on Fed policy. I forecast a hike in December 2015.
I still forecast US major stock indices to post 5-8% gains in 2015.
I expect EU major stock indices(DAX, CAC, FTSE) to post 5-8% in 2015.
That said, buying the current dip should prove handsomely profitable.
I expect 10 year US treasury yield to touch 2.70% in 2015. I expect 10 year German bunds yield to touch 1.0% in 2015.
I expect oil WTI to recover to 65 USD in 2015. Gold to fall to 800 USD in 2, 3 years.
Twitter, LinkedIn are undervalued. Facebook, Apple are fully valued. Microsoft is undervalued on Windows 10.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
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Disclaimer:
Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is".
The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights.
Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks.
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks!
The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com
Respectfully yours,
Petar Posledovich
Sunday, September 20, 2015
Buying the Current Dip in Equities?
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Friday, September 11, 2015
Buying the Current Western Major Stock Markets Dip and FED Hike Next Week?
Dear Reader,
I still expect major US stock indices(DJIA, S&P 500 and Nasdaq) to post 5-8% gains in 2015. Basically, buying the current dip should prove handsomely profitable.
I still expect the Federal Reserve to hike the Federal Funds Rate by 0.25% next week AND in December 2015. I forecast the US 10 year treasury yield will reach 2.7% in 2015.
I forecast the major European stock markets to post mild 5-8% gains in 2015, so buying the dip here will again be profitable. 10 year German government bonds yield should touch 1.00% in 2015. I forecast the major eurozone 'periphery' government bonds (Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Greece) to sell off in the year's end. Spanish and Italian 10 year government bonds yield should reach 3.00% in 2015.
I forecast oil WTI to recover to 65 USD in 2015. Gold will fall to 800 in 2-3 years.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
I still expect major US stock indices(DJIA, S&P 500 and Nasdaq) to post 5-8% gains in 2015. Basically, buying the current dip should prove handsomely profitable.
I still expect the Federal Reserve to hike the Federal Funds Rate by 0.25% next week AND in December 2015. I forecast the US 10 year treasury yield will reach 2.7% in 2015.
I forecast the major European stock markets to post mild 5-8% gains in 2015, so buying the dip here will again be profitable. 10 year German government bonds yield should touch 1.00% in 2015. I forecast the major eurozone 'periphery' government bonds (Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Greece) to sell off in the year's end. Spanish and Italian 10 year government bonds yield should reach 3.00% in 2015.
I forecast oil WTI to recover to 65 USD in 2015. Gold will fall to 800 in 2-3 years.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
Friday, September 4, 2015
Predictions Results and More Forecasts!
Dear Reader,
I still believe that US major stock indices will finish the year 2015 up 5-8%. So buying the current dip should prove (quite) profitable.
Accuracy of Predictions: As evidenced by previous posts, I predicted that US tech stocks will correct 30%. This came true for stocks listed in the last 3-4 years, while old tech majors like Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple corrected circa 20% along with Facebook. I predicted also that there will not be a crash. I update my prediction that most of the tech stocks will recover their losses.
European stock indices, though, will not fully recover their highs. I expect DAX, CAC, FTSE to post circa 5% gains in 2015.
I forecast the Federal Reserve will raise rates in September and December or twice this year. I forecast the German 10 year bund yield will touch 1.00% in 2015 and US 10 year treasury yield will reach 2.7% in 2015.
EUR/USD should fall to 0.90, while USD/JPY should touch 110.
I believe oil WTI will recover to 60 USD in 2015, so global oil majors look like a good investment.
Gold should fall to 800 USD in 2-3 years.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities,currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
LinkedIn Bio:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/petar-posledovich-5236123/
I recently worked for almost 3 years as a Senior Expert at United Bulgarian Bank AD, part of KBC Group solely doing Market and Counterparty Risk. Before that I worked for 2.5 years as Chief Expert, Market and Counterparty Risk in DSK Bank, part of OTP Bank.
I have interned for 2.5 months with Deutsche Bank AG, worked for 8 months as Market and Counterparty Risk Manager at ING Wholesale Banking and for 1.4 years as Investment Associate at Unicredit Bulbank AD, Bulgaria.
Since November 2010 until July 2017, I was a Research Analyst at the Bulgarian National Bank, where I analyzed financial markets for managing Bulgaria's foreign currency reserves in an efficient manner.
I hold a Master of Science in Applied Mathematics(Financial Mathematics) and BA in Economics from Sofia University 'St. Kliment Ohridski'
I have done 1.5 year of graduate studies at the University of Constance, Germany and Erazmus academic exchange year studies at the Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Germany.
I am a Licensed Investment Consultant by the Bulgarian Financial Supervision Commission
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