Disclaimer:

Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is". The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights. Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks. Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks! The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com Respectfully yours, Petar Posledovich

Friday, January 27, 2023

Tesla Stock


Easy come, easy go. Easy come again?

This, as evidenced by the graph below could be, perhaps the best description of Tesla's stock price:

Statistical arbitrage at its purest form: the stocks which prices go down the most, go up the most during the next upturn.

I still think, however, Tesla Inc. is worth 120 billion USD. If you take out subsidies, Tesla is still unprofitable. And forgive me for asking, but isn't capitalism about making profits? Increasing wealth by creating value, not blowing bubbles?


Anyhow, the Internet took 60 years to commercialise and birth Alphabet, Amazon, Meta. Elon Musk's bet is long-term. If the world's richest man up until two months ago and the brilliant engineers Tesla employs manage to achieve a technological breakthrough, which allows Tesla to produce electric vehicles profitably, despite the high usage of base, ferrous metals, which make the latter impossible as of today, this could make Tesla worth, not only 1.24 trillion USD again, but even more than 2 trillion USD.

Simply because the electric vehicle technology edge production and know-how Tesla possesses, would make it quasi oligopolist, if not monopolist on the electric cars market.

Hence, the logical hedging by Volkswagen, Toyota, Ford etc., which are all entering electric vehicle production, even though they realise that in the short term, they are going to loose billions of USD.

Feb 02/09/2022US:TSLA$310.6667

Feb …$0$100$200$300$400$500
02/09/2022US:TSLA$310.6667




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