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Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is". The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights. Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks. Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks! The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com Respectfully yours, Petar Posledovich

Friday, August 26, 2022

How to Value Tesla?


Tesla Inc is valued at 928 billion USD by public markets.

All financiers and people in general who have studied company valuation know that regular company valuation methods cannot explain Tesla Inc's lofty valuation.

Apparently, the market is assuming Tesla would grow with 20 % for the next 10-15 years and achieve a net profit margin of 20 %. I would put the likelihood of such favourable developments for Tesla at 1 %.

I estimate Tesla is worth 120 billion USD. This is the value of Tesla electric vehicle production technology and production know-how and expertise and the value of engineers, assembly line workers, financiers and support personnel working for Tesla.



Yes, it took the internet more than 40 years to become commercially viable. But there was not a company like Tesla valued at around 1 trillion USD equivalent in the intermittent space. Yes, shortly dot-com companies like Pets.com were valued loftily and they went bankrupt after the 1996-2001 dot-com boom and bust.

The strategy is clear, of course. Raise funds, buy time to make a technological breakthrough that will make electric cars production commercially viable or profit generating in short. Much like the Internet took decades to become commercially viable.

But still. Tesla is the largest single stock bubble in history, in my humble opinion.

And when it bursts, the ramifications will be huge and wide reaching.

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