Disclaimer:

Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is". The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights. Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks. Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks! The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com Respectfully yours, Petar Posledovich

Wednesday, August 24, 2022

How to Measure the Value of Bitcoin?


Bitcoin, the main cryptocurrency has lost more than 70 % of its value recently.

How to measure the value of Bitcoin?

Growth.  Future growth. Since Bitcoin is not a mature business, which both Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham would love and Bitcoin does not pay dividends, the only way to forecast Bitcoin's price is to correctly guess/estimate guesstimate the future growth of Bitcoin's adoption by the public.

Actually, this is not much different from estimating Warren Buffett's proverbial competitive advantage, which drives the value of any business. One has to correctly forecast whether the market would buy the particular company's product or service.

In Bitcoin's case, the blockchain algorithm is the true rainmaker.

A comparatively simple hashing, tree algorithm is underlying Bitcoin. But the great benefit of tree algorithms is that they adapt at every step. They are essentially Bayesian econometrics, statistics applied at every step. Essentially, the lean startup method applied with mathematical models.

This inherent flexibility, vetted by the world's population, which actually creates Bitcoins will ensure that the blockchain and Bitcoin find their way and change most businesses by making them more efficient, that is, they will produce more output with less input.


The financial technology will, of course be most transformed by Bitcoin and the blockchain. Wall Street investment banks, which hold the "key" figuratively speaking to investments via their research departments, will be disrupted by Bitcoin.

The Wall Street investment banks' intermediation of capital creation and flows will be eaten away at, disrupted by the creation of new cryptocurrencies, based on the blockchain algorithm, which will be used for very young, immature, predominantly technology startups to finance themselves.

In addition to that, technologists, bankers and investors are fascinated by (financial) technology. Technologists, bankers and investors lead the initial adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Technologists, bankers and investors will lead the next, much bigger and transformative wave of Bitcoin and crypto adoption. 

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