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Disclaimer: The blog posts and comments on this blog and posts on social networks are not investment recommendation, are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed on the blog are Petar Posledovich's. Petar Posledovich does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented on this blog and social networks. The information presented is "as is". The blog is stocks analysis and valuation, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, Artificial Intelligence, AI, deep-learning focused. Independent, unbiased AI insights. Petar Vladimirov Posledovich is not liable for any investment losses incurred by reading and interpreting blog posts on this blog and posts on social networks. Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities, currencies or their derivatives mentioned in the blog post and posts on social networks! The blog is property of Wolfteam Ltd. www.wolfteamedge.com Respectfully yours, Petar Posledovich

Friday, March 17, 2023

Is The Technology Stocks Rout Over?



No.

Technology stocks' performance measured by the Nasdaq Composite have around 40 % to fall from current levels to around 8 400 points, in my personal opinion.

The technology sector is still overvalued by most valuations metrics.

Many listed, small capitalization, mid capitalization and even large capitalization are loss making or barely profitable.

The interesting thing is that stock market investors seem not to promote the profitable technology stocks, by assigning to them lower Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, Price/Book valuation multiples. 


Very interesting, indeed.

The stock market seems to go on and reward growth. Not only that, but stock market participants also seem to reward forecasted growth in the future. 

I personally invest in technology stocks, and I understand the reason for the conundrum above.

When a hot technology stock's price goes up, 3 times for example, it does not matter a lot if it falls by 30 %, 40 % or even 50 %. But that is only true, if one has invested in the aforementioned technology stock at or near the bottom of the stocks' price and this is not very easy, to say the least.



A notoriously difficult thing about technology stocks is investing when the stock bottoms out. Yes, if the investor is successful, he or she can make multiples of his or her initial investment.  A case in point is Snap Inc, Snapchat application's owner, when its stock price went from 4.99 USD to 83 USD in the space of 3 years. Before that Snap's stock price fell from 27 USD to 4.99 USD.

So, in short, technology stocks' volatility or risk makes it difficult for long-term investing. Timing is here more important.

And if interest rates levels are going up as they have done in the last year or so, technology companies which are mostly making losses and burning cash find it difficult to raise money.

And I forecast the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank will go on raising their leading rates.








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