Sunday, March 20, 2011

So many black swans, fluid situations, let's hope the positives outweigh the negatives

Dear Reader,

Things are getting more and more difficult to weigh. War is war, nuclear reaction is very difficult to predict.
Results from my personal views on the markets: USO (+0.7%), GLD (+0.1%), May 21, 2011  SPY PUT @ 134 strike is up (+13.0%), Sell JJA(-1.2%). If I had invested 25.0% of my portfolio in the four mentioned instruments the result for last week will be: (+1.75%) + (+0.025%) + (+3.25%) + (-0.3)% = + 4.725% for my hypothetical portfolio.

Regarding next week.  Basically, I am perplexed. No clear trends, as far as I am concerned. Libya and Japan remain fluid. So I am sitting out next week. Let' rest a bit.

Disclaimer: Please be advised, this is NOT a reccomendation to buy the mentioned securities, commodities or their derivatives. This is just my personal, hypothetical view on the markets. I do not own any of the mentioned commodities(apart from regular day to day use) or their derivatives traded on exchanges, and options on indices and I do not plan to own them in the next 72 hours!

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