Sunday, February 26, 2023

When Could Possibly Tech Stocks Crash?


Technology stocks suffered a circa 30 % fall on average since November 2021.

They recovered quite bit of the lost ground however.

Big investment banks like Morgan Stanley are predicting a fall of 26 % for the Standard and Poor's 500 index in the next few months.

Actually, only by raising the interest rates levels mainly driven by Federal Reserve federal funds rate hikes I doubt the Nasdaq Composite will suffer a 60 % fall like in the dot com boom and subsequent bust.

According to my opinion, only when around 5 trillion USD of the 10 trillion USD of excess liquidity, aka the 10 trillion USD created, printed by central banks is withdrawn, market participants can witness a fall of the major indices of 50 % + from their recent highs.



It is not easy to be in the place of the leaders of global central banks.

Times are interesting, without a doubt.  






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