Stocks valuations, analysis. Unbiased. Insightful. Property of Wolfteam Ltd., www.wolfteamedge.com If you find the blog useful, LINK TO www.posledovich.blogspot.com Stocks, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, AI, analysis, insights. CLICK ADVERTISEMENTS, SHARE ON SOCIAL NETWORKS! Technology, Bitcoin, AI, company strategy, stocks analysis. Stocks, crypto involve high RISK! Nothing on this blog is meant or should be construed as investment recommendation to buy or sell securities or their derivatives!
Independent, Unbiased Stocks, Equities Analysis, Valuations. Investing Insights. No Recommendations!
Stocks valuations, analysis. Unbiased. Insightful. Property of Wolfteam Ltd., www.wolfteamedge.com If you find the blog useful, LINK TO www.posledovich.blogspot.com Stocks, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, AI, analysis, insights. CLICK ADVERTISEMENTS, SHARE ON SOCIAL NETWORKS! Technology, Bitcoin, AI, company strategy, stocks analysis. Stocks, crypto involve high RISK! Nothing on this blog is meant or should be construed as investment recommendation to buy or sell securities or their derivatives!
Sunday, April 10, 2011
Markets seem to go up (almost) all the time. Will this continue?
Last week the price of oil continued to rise and the uprisings in the Middle East are from over. Gold and silver seem to be entering bubble territory. Silver went up 8.1% last week.
Results from last week: Long USO (+4.6%), Long SLV (+8.1%), Long JJA (+2.2%), Short XLF (+0.4%).
If each position comprised 25% of the portfolio the result would would have been:
0.25*(+0.046) + 0.25*(+0.081) + 0.25*(+0.022)+ 0.25*(+0.004)= 0.0115+ 0.0203+ 0.0055 + 0.0010=0.0383= +3.83%. A good result.
Commodities and precious metals, however, are entering dangerous highs. Markets can continue to go up a long, long time and it does not seem a very good idea to be short. There is too much liquidity all over the world, some commodities are above their 2008 highs, some are a fraction lower...
Anyway, my personal view on the market for next week is: Buy USO, Buy SLV, Buy JJA, Sell XLF.
Basically, the same as last week, but I expect a major pullback in risk assets to take place soon. Precious metals, basic metals and agriculture (cotton, sugar) seem ready to sell off sharply. The same goes for equities.
However, for now the supply of more liquidity to the markets seems to support prices.
Disclaimer: Please be advised, this is NOT a reccomendation to buy the mentioned securities, commodities or their derivatives. This is just my personal, hypothetical view on the markets. I do not own any of the mentioned commodities (apart from regular day to day use) or their derivatives traded on exchanges, and options on indices or ETFs, Stocks traded on exchanges and I do not plan to own them in the next 72 hours!
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