Stocks valuations, analysis. Unbiased. Insightful. Property of Wolfteam Ltd., www.wolfteamedge.com If you find the blog useful, LINK TO www.posledovich.blogspot.com Stocks, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, AI, analysis, insights. CLICK ADVERTISEMENTS, SHARE ON SOCIAL NETWORKS! Technology, Bitcoin, AI, company strategy, stocks analysis. Stocks, crypto involve high RISK! Nothing on this blog is meant or should be construed as investment recommendation to buy or sell securities or their derivatives!
Independent, Unbiased Stocks, Equities Analysis, Valuations. Investing Insights. No Recommendations!
Stocks valuations, analysis. Unbiased. Insightful. Property of Wolfteam Ltd., www.wolfteamedge.com If you find the blog useful, LINK TO www.posledovich.blogspot.com Stocks, Bitcoin, Cryptocurrencies, AI, analysis, insights. CLICK ADVERTISEMENTS, SHARE ON SOCIAL NETWORKS! Technology, Bitcoin, AI, company strategy, stocks analysis. Stocks, crypto involve high RISK! Nothing on this blog is meant or should be construed as investment recommendation to buy or sell securities or their derivatives!
Saturday, February 28, 2015
Stocks, Bonds and Emerging Markets!
Dear Reader,
After the Greece situation temporarily got settled there was risk on again.
I personally expect US stocks to sell off more than 20% from the current levels measured by the main indices. Biotech and tech stocks should fall circa 30% or more, because there are in a bubble.
Eurozone bonds should start selling off somewhere in the first two quarters of 2015. India and China look good value plays in the long term, even though the Federal reserve will raise rates.
I expect US treasuries to start selling off in 2015 as the Federal Reserve will raise the Federal Funds Rate. The disruption of the US stock markets will transpire into eurozone stocks and they will sell of again.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities or currencies mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Friday, February 20, 2015
Stocks and Bonds!
Dear Reader,
Gold broke briefly 1200 this week. Gold is about to target 1050 in 2015. EUR/USD should target 1.05 in 2015.
US stocks should fall 20% measured by the main indices from the current levels. US Tech stocks, especially nonpublic venture capital backed, are in a bubble, along with biotech. Both should decline more than 30%.
The disruption that the forecasted fall in US equities causes, should bring down German, French and euro area stocks in general. Yields on eurozone government bonds should rise in 2015.
The yields on US tresuries should increase in 2015 as well. The yield on the 10 year US treasury should reach 2.70% in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities or currencies mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Friday, February 13, 2015
Stocks, Bonds and Commodities!
Dear Reader,
The eurozone grew a mediocre 0.3% quarter on quarter in the fourth quarter of 2014. I still expect 'periphery'(Spanish, Italian, Portuguese, Irish etc.) eurozone government bonds to sell off and their yields to rise in 2015.
US stocks should fall more than 20% from the current levels of the S&P 500. EUR/USD should target 1.05 in 2015. Mid-to-large cap oil companies and base metals producers look good value plays in the next 3-4 years.
Chinese and India equities look like good value plays for the next 2-3 years. Eurozone stocks(DAX, CAC, FTSE MIB) should sell off at least 20% from the current levels.
US treasuries yield should rise in 2015. The 10 US treasury yield can target 2.5% in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities or currencies mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
The eurozone grew a mediocre 0.3% quarter on quarter in the fourth quarter of 2014. I still expect 'periphery'(Spanish, Italian, Portuguese, Irish etc.) eurozone government bonds to sell off and their yields to rise in 2015.
US stocks should fall more than 20% from the current levels of the S&P 500. EUR/USD should target 1.05 in 2015. Mid-to-large cap oil companies and base metals producers look good value plays in the next 3-4 years.
Chinese and India equities look like good value plays for the next 2-3 years. Eurozone stocks(DAX, CAC, FTSE MIB) should sell off at least 20% from the current levels.
US treasuries yield should rise in 2015. The 10 US treasury yield can target 2.5% in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities or currencies mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!
Friday, February 6, 2015
Stocks, Bonds and Currencies!
Dear Reader,
The non farm payrolls results were predominantly positive. The Federal Reserve seems poised to raise rates in the second half of 2015. US and EU stocks should sell off and fall more than 20% from the current levels. There is a bubble in tech stocks. I know that the hottest public and nonpublic companies have revenues this time. They did not have in the dot com boom. The market capitalization this time is excessive and many hot technology companies look overvalued.
I am of the opinion that Greece will cause problems. Eurozone 'periphery' government bonds should start selling off in the first or second quarter of 2015. The yields on Spanish, Italian, Irish, Portuguese, French, Greek etc. will rise significantly in 2015.
Oil seems to have found a bottom. Gold should sell off and target 1050 in 2015. EUR/USD will target 1.05 in 2015. Volatility(VIX) will rise towards 30 driven by regulators. Currencies will be an interesting asset class in 2015.
Disclaimer: This article and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are provided solely for informational purposes, and do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.) are the author's and they in no way express the opinion or official position of Bulgarian National Bank!
Conflicts of interest: I may possess some of the securities or currencies mentioned in the blogpost and posts on social networks(Twitter, LinkedIn etc.)!